Week 3 - Probability
Monday 10:00 - 10:50
- Law of large numbers activity.
- Split class into four groups. Give each an event, e.g.:
- Get 3 heads in 5 coin tosses.
- Draw two red cards in a hand of two cards.
- Roll two dice and the minimum is less than 3.
- Ask the groups to calculate the probability of the event occuring.
- Ask the group to perform the experiment 20 times, recording the number of times the event occured.
- Bring class together, in turn each group will explain how they calculates the probability of their event, and will input their data into a spreadsheet. This will show the long run average converging to the calcuated probability over time.
- Wrap up by saying this is the law of large numbers.
Tuesday 09:00 - 10:50
- Probability theory activity
- Work on tutorial sheet 2, probability.